Archive for the ‘FX and Commodities’ Category

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To Commoditize is…

Thursday, July 21st, 2011

To commoditize is to treat something like a commodity. When you commoditize, you take a set of similar products and treat them as indistinguishable. Imagine printer paper: you don’t care which brand you get; all that matters is getting the best price. Printer paper is a commoditized market. However, the laser printer market is not a commoditized market because the different brands and their respective features matter more to you.

Commoditization takes differentiated products and transforms them into a uniform commodity market.

10 Things You Never Knew About Gold

Friday, July 15th, 2011

Brett Molé had just finished eating his daily $175 hamburger topped with 750mg of gold flakes when he had the idea to make this video. It’s fun!

The CME is…

Thursday, June 30th, 2011

The CME is short for the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. The CME is one of the largest derivatives markets in the world, offering a wide range of options, futures, and other products.

Precious Metals are…

Friday, June 3rd, 2011

Precious metals are metals that are rare and valuable. For example, gold, platinum, and silver are all precious metals.

Saudi Arabia Reacts to Your Disinterest by Playing Hard to Get

Thursday, April 21st, 2011

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(photo credit: ezioman)

Let’s see if we can explain this one:

- The laws of supply and demand say that when supply of a particular product is low, its price goes up. And when consumer demand for that product is high, prices also go up.

- The opposite is also true: low demand = low prices; high supply = low prices.

- So when the oil minister of Saudi Arabia says that OPEC is cutting down on oil production because there’s too much supply in the market, you would think that oil is pretty cheap right now.

Nope. The price of oil is actually higher than it’s been in two and a half years. But it’s not high because of strong consumer demand (apparently demand is quite low since no one can afford it), and it’s not because of low supply (the minister says the market is actually “oversupplied” with barrels and barrels of black gold).

The price of oil is high because of the investors trading it on commodity markets. Because of all the civil unrest/ revolutions/ humanitarian disasters in North Africa and the Middle East right now, they’re worried about whether oil will become harder to get in the future.

So in this case, the price of oil has nothing to do with present-day supply and demand. It’s about a bunch of analysts who think that if a lot of oil-rich governments collapse, tomorrow’s supply might not meet tomorrow’s demand. (Dun dun dun dunnnnnnnnnn!)

Rut-Roh: Credit Rating Agency Just Not That Into U.S. Debt Right Now

Wednesday, April 20th, 2011

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(photo credit: striatic)

Well, that pesky federal deficit has finally caught up with us. Standard & Poor’s, a credit rating agency that basically judges how risky (or safe) it is to invest in a country, has officially said that the United States’s economic shenanigans may end up costing it its pristine AAA credit rating. (That’s three A’s, so you know it’s extra awesome.) The main reason? Washington’s seeming inability to agree on a plan to reduce the deficit.

S&P didn’t actually downgrade America’s credit rating, but it did change its “outlook” from “stable” to “negative.” This is basically a shot across the bow, or a warning from your mother that if you keep hanging out with those corner boys all you’ll get is a reputation.

This is kind of a big deal. If the U.S. is downgraded (and according to S&P is could be within three years), we’ll be out-credited by France. And foreign investors might be less interested in buying Treasury bonds, which would cut off an important source of income for the government. Which might result in more cuts to services like health care, education, and, you know, repairing roads.

Let’s see where we are in two years. In the meantime, how do you think you would do in S&P’s eyes?

Can you weather the credit storm?

Who Gets Paid for Libyan Oil?

Wednesday, March 9th, 2011

“Oil markets have been spooked by fighting that has tended to play out near oil facilities such as the Ras Lanuf oil terminal, in eastern Libya. The complex is currently in the hands of rebels, although Libyan warplanes have launched air strikes near rebel positions on the outskirts of the town, according to witnesses.

The fact that many of Libya’s key oil installations are in the hands of rebels creates a headache for oil companies already hit by the U.S. trade sanctions adopted last month against Libya. The violence is deterring tankers from loading cargoes in Libyan ports, and even when they succeed, it is unclear who they should be paying for the crude—the opposition forces or the Gadhafi regime.”

What do you think?

Is the fall of a violent dictator in the Middle East worth more expensive gas prices in the U.S.?

Bet You Didn’t Know: The U.S. Still Manufactures 40% More Stuff Than China

Friday, February 11th, 2011

“WASHINGTON — U.S. factories are closing. American manufacturing jobs are reappearing overseas. China’s industrial might is growing each year.

Yet America remains by far the No. 1 manufacturing country. It out-produces No. 2 China by more than 40 percent. U.S. manufacturers cranked out nearly $1.7 trillion in goods in 2009, according to the United Nations.

The story of American factories essentially boils down to this: They’ve managed to make more goods with fewer workers.”

What do you think?

What if higher production adds up to fewer jobs? Is efficiency always a good thing?

How often do you see “Made in U.S.A.” on the products you buy? How about “China?”

A diverse investment portfolio. With butter and sprinkles.

Thursday, December 23rd, 2010

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from Let It Dough! by Christoph Niemann (NYTimes)

You can invest in lots of different things – stocks, bonds, mutual funds, currencies, cows. (For real! They’re called commodities and they’re really weird.) And you can invest in this stuff in the U.S. or in almost any country in the world.

But here’s the trick: you want to have a diverse mix of all these things, so you don’t lose all your money if, say, the U.S. economy crashes or all the cows go on strike.

Diversification is a way to reduce that risk by creating a portfolio with a wide mixture of different investments. In basic terms, it means “don’t put all your eggs in one basket.”

Mmm. Sprinkles.

Investment Advice From A Banker’s Deathbed

Wednesday, December 1st, 2010

Some people would shatter under the weight of Gordon Murray’s diagnosis. But he channeled his remaining energy into creating a legacy.

  • In 2008, former Wall Street bond salesman Gordon Murray was diagnosed with brain cancer. Five months ago he decided to end his treatment and write “The Investment Answer.”
  • After 25-years of high-level jobs on Wall Street, Mr. Murray says he suddenly realized that everything he knew about investing was wrong. Actively managing (tinkering with) investment portfolios, he says, is useless at best, and harmful at worst.
  • Even as an experienced financial player, Murray found he didn’t actually know much about asset allocation. He learned the ropes in firms like Goldman Sachs and Lehman Brothers, which valued risk and bravado over safety and simplicity. His book, full of simple investment advice, is aimed at investors who are in the same position he was.

Facts & Figures

The five choices Murray says every investor needs to make:

  • Only work with financial advisors who earn commission from you – not mutual funds or insurance companies
  • Diversify! Keep your money allocated between stocks and bonds, big and small, and value and growth
  • Make sure to include foreign investments to guard against economic disasters in the U.S.
  • Be skeptical of actively-managed funds… even experienced fund managers can’t predict the future of the market
  • Rebalance – sell your winners, buy more losers. It’s painful, but improves your returns in the long run

Best Quote

“It’s American to think that if you’re smart or work hard, then you can beat the markets.” – Gordon Murray

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